tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17500930.post5142673738539919949..comments2024-03-20T22:57:03.923+00:00Comments on Dean Bubley's Disruptive Wireless: 4G.... yep, the industry is still breathing its own exhaustDean Bubleyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05719150957239368264noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17500930.post-71313977713610395372007-01-31T14:05:00.000+00:002007-01-31T14:05:00.000+00:00Last comment was not supposed to be anonymousLast comment was not supposed to be anonymousAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17500930.post-76886588907802518582007-01-31T14:04:00.000+00:002007-01-31T14:04:00.000+00:00On the "Internet goes mobile-centric". I think bot...On the "Internet goes mobile-centric". I think both views can be reconciled.<br /><br />While I also believe that PC-based Internet will continue to innovate (Second Life comes to my mind first), I also see that mobile-based Internet is emerging. <br /><br />WAP is well alive in China, and the "$100-PC" for the poor in developing nations is not on a path to success.<br /><br />And for Western teenagers I'd expect a healthy mix (maybe 50:50?) of online time spent with the PC vs. mobile.<br /><br />So when counting global daily Internet usage time in 10 years, I'd expect mobile to have a good chunk of that, possibly more than 50%. Not 95% but significantly growing from the current <1%.<br /><br />And when considering Internet business (of operators and service providers), mobile will have even larger share, since it seems that people value mobility vs. perceive that the PC-based Internet is or should be "free".Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17500930.post-7140688038781721262007-01-31T13:52:00.000+00:002007-01-31T13:52:00.000+00:00I've heard estimates that the current 3G royalty r...I've heard estimates that the current 3G royalty rate may be higher than that in some cases, especially for manufacturers that don't have their own IPR to "net off" against other holders'.<br /><br />The most interesting thing I see is the NGMN initiative, which essentially seems to be an operator body designed to standardise requirements for LTE and 4G, taking considerations about IPR upfront. This contrasts with the comment from ETSI yesterday that its members are specifically prohibited from talking about IPR in standards discussions. <br /><br />I also see tech-neutrality as a great way to hedge against any IPR holders coming out of the woodwork at a later date. Neutrality gives spectrum holders a last-resort option to say "Stuff your usurious IPR built-in to XYZ standard, I'll just build something else instead".Dean Bubleyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05719150957239368264noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17500930.post-34532200146072402942007-01-31T12:30:00.000+00:002007-01-31T12:30:00.000+00:00Dean,
Interesting to hear that QCOM et all were al...Dean,<br />Interesting to hear that QCOM et all were already jockeying for 4G IPR. Whose case do you like best at this time? What do the standard orgs think are low enough royalty rates - is the current 3G royalty (5-10%) considered too high?<br />The current 3G IP battle (QCOM v NOK/BRCM...) doesn't make it look promising that 4G IPR will be solved any time soon...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com