I've been pondering some of the side-effects and necessary enablers of the accelerating wireless evolution path we're seeing. As well as spectrum issues I've covered a lot recently, deploying indoor infrastructure is going to be another one of them.
It is not a new assertion that indoor networks are
important for enterprise. The frustrations of poor indoor cellular coverage are universal,
while businesses of all types need to provide employees and guests with high-quality
Wi-Fi.
(I'll cover trends in home Wi-Fi in a later post, while I've already written about industrial facilities in a number of previous ones, such as here, as the issues are as much about spectrum as about infrastructure and planning.)
(I'll cover trends in home Wi-Fi in a later post, while I've already written about industrial facilities in a number of previous ones, such as here, as the issues are as much about spectrum as about infrastructure and planning.)
Various solutions abound for providing good signal indoors –
distributed antenna systems (DAS), small cells, or even just deployment of
lower-frequency bands in outdoor networks, with better penetration through
walls. Yet costs remain considerable, especially as usage increases
near-exponentially. Upgrading or retro-fitting existing installations often
requires hard economic decisions, given that most such investments are not
directly “monetised”. Suitable expertise, foresight, planning tools and ongoing
monitoring/reporting are important.
The future, however, will accelerate the role of
in-building/on-site wireless connectivity – in both predictable and
unpredictable fashion. If we consider what a building might look like in the
year 2030, say – and how it may be used and occupied – we can start to see the
challenges and opportunities.
As well as today’s well-known and well-described uses of
wireless (smartphones and laptops on Wi-Fi and cellular networks), we can
expect to see a huge number of new uses emerge. This means that today’s
implementations will require future-proofing, to support the unknowns of
tomorrow. For example, consider the implications of:
- IoT deployments for smart buildings, such as a proliferation of sensors for heating, security, or the operation of elevators. These may require better coverage in unusual places – in ceiling voids, lift-shafts, basements and so on. Bandwidth and latency requirements will vary hugely, from life-critical but low-data fire/carbon monoxide sensors, to networked video cameras, or once-an-hour reporting from water tanks.
- Moving devices such as robots or automated trolleys, delivering products around the building. While some will be fully-autonomous, others will need constant wireless connectivity and control.
- 5G networks will be deployed from around 2020, with further evolutions in following years. These may be extremely demanding on in-building coverage solutions, especially as some networks are likely to use frequencies above 6GHz – perhaps even as high as 80GHz. Extensive use of MIMO and beam-forming may also add complexity to indoor implementations. (A new variant of WiFi known as WiGig also uses 60GHz frequencies)
- Likely huge growth in narrowband wireless, connecting low-powered (but maybe very dense) networks of sensors or other endpoints. These may use 3GPP technologies such as NB-IoT, or other options such as LoRa and SigFox.
All of these trends imply very different traffic patterns.
It is not realistic just to extrapolate from current usage – robots may go
to places in buildings where humans do not, for example. Mobility requirements may evolve –
and so will regulations.
It is not just new classes of device and application which
will need to be supported by well-designed coverage infrastructure, but also new classes
of service provider that need to access them.
- The advent of new unlicensed or shared-spectrum models of frequency allocation (eg CBRS in the US, or MuLTEfire) may mean the arrival of new operator types – dedicated IoT solutions providers that “bring their own wireless”; enterprises acting as their own local on-site MNOs; various models of “neutral host” and so on.
- Private enterprise cellular networks are starting to become more widespread. Some governments are allocating spectrum for industries like utilities or smart-cities, while equipment vendors are offering optimised enterprise-grade cellular infrastructure.
- Potential future regulations for emergency-services wireless connections. Police and fire authorities are increasingly using broadband mobile, both for humans and remote-sensing devices.
- Distributed-mesh service providers, that operate as decentralised networks with micropayments, or as community initiatives. Some may use blockchain-type arrangements for shared-ownership or membership fees.
One of the unknowns is about the convergence (or divergence)
of different network types. On one hand, cellular networks are embracing Wi-Fi
for offload, or for multi-network aggregation, especially as they worry that
returning flat-rate data plans may stress their networks. On the other, some
networks are looking at running 4G/5G in unlicensed spectrum instead of (or in
addition to) Wi-Fi. Yet more service providers are adopting a “Wi-Fi first”
approach, reverting to MVNO models for cellular where needed. Future
permutations will likely be more complex still. All will (ideally) need to be well-suppported by indoor wireless infrastructure.
For property developers and owners, the quality of indoor
networks is increasingly key in determining valuations and rental occupancy.
Already seen in hotels, and office new builds, it will be important for today’s new constructions and
refurbishments to support adequate flexibility and headroom for the next decade
or more.
This takes on further emphasis if you consider the trend
towards “buildings-as-a-service”, exemplified by organisations such as WeWork.
These new classes of facility often incorporate wireless connectivity both as a
billable service element, but also to enable their owners to manage the properties
effectively, in terms of energy-efficiency and security. Other forms of
monetisation and data-analytics around wireless location-sensing/tracking are
also becoming more important.
Lastly, in-building challenges will be driven by the
specific location and industry, which themselves may change in nature over the
next decade. New building materials, construction practices and regulations
will impact wireless in unpredictable ways – more metallic insulation perhaps,
but also perhaps robot or pre-fabricated construction allowing wireless systems
to be installed more easily. Individual industry verticals will have their own
shifts – what will retail stores look like, and how will customers behave, in
the era of home deliveries by drone, but more on-premise “experiences”, perhaps
with AR/VR systems? What workplaces of the future look like, in an era of
self-driving vehicles? Industrial facilities will become increasingly
automated, with the largest uses of wireless connections being machines rather
than humans. Hotels and airports will see shifts in data connectivity needs
from employees and visitors, as application usage shifts.
Small cells look certain to play a more important role in future, and Wi-Fi is going to remain the most important indoor technology for many users and businesses (ignore the fantasists who think it's at risk from 4G / 5G - see my earlier post here).
There are no easy answers here – even if you construct good
scenarios for the future, undoubtedly we will be surprised by events. But some
form of upfront discipline in designing and building indoor wireless solutions
is ever more critical, given the unknowns. The more future-proofing is
possible, the lower the potential risk of being caught out.
On
October 5th, at 3pm BST / 4pm CET / 10am EDT, I will be presenting on some of these
topics on a webinar for client iBwave. A link to the event is here
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